Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.197808 0.229490 0.264635 0.306521 0.355096 0.409677 0.475697
2025-06-01 0.150006 0.192828 0.245390 0.314695 0.403770 0.514553 0.663053
2025-06-08 0.122264 0.168619 0.229609 0.315815 0.434733 0.593342 0.821586
2025-06-15 0.105004 0.153360 0.220687 0.321405 0.468610 0.676497 0.993555
2025-06-22 0.088748 0.136191 0.205555 0.314537 0.481985 0.730454 1.128978
2025-06-29 0.077131 0.123717 0.194867 0.311673 0.499359 0.790484 1.279010
2025-07-06 0.068846 0.114979 0.188304 0.313610 0.523372 0.862207 1.454828
2025-07-13 0.064544 0.111916 0.190052 0.328664 0.569712 0.974074 1.709125
2025-07-20 0.060065 0.107863 0.189479 0.339406 0.609592 1.079134 1.964075
2025-07-27 0.056031 0.103996 0.188610 0.349248 0.648633 1.186559 2.235588
2025-08-03 0.051499 0.098614 0.184331 0.352210 0.675208 1.274178 2.480656
2025-08-10 0.046617 0.091949 0.176871 0.348190 0.687930 1.337148 2.685724
2025-08-17 0.041358 0.084019 0.166303 0.337273 0.686707 1.374758 2.848623
2025-08-24 0.038919 0.081396 0.165710 0.346066 0.725811 1.495957 3.196488
2025-08-31 0.035957 0.077319 0.161703 0.347303 0.749372 1.588174 3.494926
2025-09-07 0.033786 0.074622 0.160171 0.353455 0.783839 1.706581 3.863925
2025-09-14 0.030630 0.069409 0.152733 0.345897 0.787495 1.759395 4.093751
2025-09-21 0.028179 0.065464 0.147575 0.342744 0.800495 1.833912 4.381963
2025-09-28 0.026376 0.062779 0.144891 0.344876 0.825773 1.938723 4.753978
2025-10-05 0.025745 0.062755 0.148226 0.361443 0.886904 2.133060 5.365716
2025-10-12 0.024814 0.061900 0.149528 0.373266 0.937956 2.309289 5.954837
2025-10-19 0.023874 0.060911 0.150391 0.384097 0.987812 2.488215 6.573316
2025-10-26 0.022557 0.058820 0.148342 0.387358 1.018867 2.623979 7.096757